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As sectarian tensions rise, what future awaits Syria's Alawite community?

In post-Assad Syria, the Alawite community, long associated with the fallen regime, faces deepening insecurity and sectarian anxiety.

A fighter affiliated with Syria's new administration gestures with his rifle in Syria's western coastal city of Latakia on December 26, 2024. Syria's new authorities launched an operation in a stronghold of ousted president Bashar al-Assad on December 26, with a war monitor saying three gunmen affiliated with the former government were killed, a day after angry protests erupted in several areas around Syria over a video showing an attack on an Alawite shrine that circulated online. (Photo by AAREF WATAD / A
A fighter affiliated with Syria's new administration gestures with his rifle in Syria's western coastal city of Latakia on Dec. 26, 2024. — AAREF WATAD/AFP via Getty Images

DAMASCUS — Across many areas of Syria, joy over the fall of the regime is being clouded by fear, especially within the Alawite community, deposed leader Bashar al-Assad's own sect.

The Alawites, a minority sect within Shiite Islam, constitute approximately 10-15% of Syria’s population at around 2-3 million people. They predominantly reside in the coastal regions of Latakia and Tartus and also inhabit parts of Homs and Damascus. Historically marginalized under Ottoman rule, the Alawites rose to prominence in modern Syria thanks to disproportionate representation in the military and government under the Assad regime. However, this association with Assad’s rule since 1971 has left them particularly vulnerable in the post-regime era.

Syria’s new ruling Islamist establishment is targeting former regime officials and soldiers. In the power vacuum, Alawite neighborhoods are engulfed in anxiety as unsettling accounts of assassinations and disappearances in those areas emerge.

Although the official policy of the HTS-led government has been to mend sectarian ties in the country, military operations to sweep up remnants of Assad’s regime have ignited fears and led to reprisals — often by forces or individuals impersonating authorities — in Alawite-majority districts, especially Zahraa and Akrameh in the city of Homs.

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