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Analysis

Israel fears Trump will clear path for partial Iran deal on nuclear standoff

Israel is concerned that a limited American strike on Iran, followed by negotiations, would lead to a partial nuclear deal that excludes the ballistic missile and proxy issues.

Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images
US President Donald Trump shakes hands with Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Air Force Gen. Dan Caine during a ceremony in which Trump presented the Mexican Border Defense Medal in the Oval Office of the White House on Dec. 15, 2025, in Washington. — Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

TEL AVIV — Ahead of Thursday’s Iran-US negotiating session in Geneva, the third round in recent weeks, Israeli officials who spoke to Al-Monitor are voicing concerns that President Donald Trump will accept an unsatisfactory deal and leave Israel to deal with the fallout.

As tensions escalate with the arrival of the USS Gerald Ford carrier group in the region, Israeli diplomatic officials told Al-Monitor that concern is growing in Jerusalem that Trump may order a limited strike on Iran to pressure it into making concessions on its nuclear program, paving the way for a partial agreement between Washington and Tehran.

Israeli officials fear such a deal would not address Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal or its support for militant groups, ultimately leaving Israel to confront these significant security threats on its own.

Pushing against a limited strike

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