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Israel Rewrites Rules of Game To Deal With Syria

Prime Minister Netanyahu is grappling with the profound strategic challenges posed by the potential disintegration of Syria, including dealing with chemical weapons and the prospects for a regional conflict, writes Ben Caspit.

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (2nd L) walks towards a helicopter at the conclusion of his visit in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights November 14, 2012. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's forces are faltering against rebels, some of whom are dug in on the eastern foothills of the Golan Heights, Israel said on Wednesday. The violence near the Golan has jarred the Jewish state, which this week twice shot back after stray Syrian fire hit its side - the old foes' first armed engagement over the str
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu walks toward a helicopter at the conclusion of his visit in the Golan Heights, Nov. 14, 2012. — REUTERS/Ronen Zvulun

When big, historic structures disintegrate, laws are written anew. When familiar frameworks break up, rules change. This, more or less, is what’s happening now in the Middle East. This, more or less, is what’s happening now between Israel and what’s left of its neighbors.

The attack, attributed to Israel, on a target or targets in Syria was meant, allegedly, to prevent “balance altering” weapons from reaching Hezbollah. The thing is that “balance” is a vague term in the current Mideast, with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad waging a desperate fight for his life, Syria disintegrating into pieces, Iran conducting a covert war against the rest of the world, Hezbollah sticking out its tongue at Israel in Iran’s name, and the earth is quaking.

Looking at the big picture, one can assume that Israel is now trying to shape new rules of play, as it goes. It’s trying to clarify what’s permissible, what’s forbidden, where the red line runs.

The amount of Syria’s “balance altering” weaponry, strategic and non-conventional, can support all of the world’s terror organizations, whoever and wherever they are. It’s an “Aladdin’s cave” laden with treasures of the kind that a run-of-the-mill terrorist generally hasn’t a hope of encountering. Large stockpiles of quality chemical weapons, chemical warheads that can be mounted onto improved Scud missiles, probably a certain biological weapons capability, batteries of sophisticated anti-aircraft missiles, the latest in Russian technology, batteries of ground-to-sea missiles capable of hitting war ships at sea or distant drilling platforms, and on top of it all knowhow, a lot of know-how, production, assembly and launch capabilities, worth more than their weight in gold. There is no way that Israel can afford to let this treasure trove be breached and distributed on Main Street to any and all takers.

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