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Syrian Opposition Divided Over Geneva II Conference

While the Syrian government and the internal opposition are ready to seek a political solution, the external opposition is refusing to attend Geneva II.

Lebanese and Syrian supporters of Syria's President Bashar al-Assad celebrate in Qusair June 9, 2013, after the Syrian army and Lebanese Hezbollah fighters took control of the town from rebel fighters in this handout photograph released by Syria's national news agency SANA. REUTERS/SANA/Handout via Reuters (SYRIA - Tags: POLITICS CIVIL UNREST) ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS IMAGE WAS PROVIDED BY A THIRD PARTY. FOR EDITORIAL USE ONLY. NOT FOR SALE FOR MARKETING OR ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS. THIS PICTURE IS DISTRIBUTED
Lebanese and Syrian supporters of Syria's President Bashar al-Assad celebrate in Qusair June 9, 2013. — REUTERS/SANA/Handout via Reuters

What influence does the Syrian army and Hezbollah’s control over the city of Qusair have on the Geneva II peace conference, which is expected to convene in July?

The Syrian regime is acting as if its military victory in Qusair has enhanced its winning cards in the political arena as well as on military ground, but the external opposition believes that Qusair is just one part in the ongoing struggle.

A Syrian pro-government MP, who spoke on condition of anonymity, told Al-Monitor in a phone interview on June 7 that the exaggeration of Qusair’s battle had given the Syrian government a strong position on military, political and popular levels, adding that the national army is experiencing high morale now.

When asked whether this victory will allow the regime to feel stronger and less willing to make concessions during Geneva II, the Syrian MP asserted that the leadership had announced conditions and that peace conference decisions would be subject to a referendum. He added that the regime will not make concessions and its supporters will not allow it to do so, since they have sacrificed thousands of “martyrs.”

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