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Erdogan talks the talk but doesn't walk the walk

Turkey appears to have changed its mind on Syria, and Ankara is preparing to work closer with Washington against IS, which suggests it may be moving away from prioritizing the demise of the Assad regime.

Turkish soldiers stand guard near the Mursitpinar border gate in Suruc, bordering with the northern Kurdish town of Kobani, in Sanliurfa province, Turkey, June 26, 2015. Islamic State fighters killed at least 145 civilians in an attack on the Syrian town of Kobani and a nearby village, in what a monitoring group described on Friday as the second worst massacre carried out by the hardline group in Syria. Fighting between the Kurdish YPG militia and Islamic State fighters who infiltrated the town at the Turki
Turkish soldiers stand guard near the Mursitpinar border gate in Suruc, bordering the northern Kurdish town Kobani, in Sanliurfa province, Turkey, June 26, 2015. — REUTERS/Murad Sezer

The chances of a military operation by Turkey to establish a buffer zone on the Syrian side of the border — with the primary aim of preventing Syrian Kurds from establishing an autonomous entity in the region — have receded as the political difficulties and security risks that would be involved dawn on Ankara. Meanwhile, the alliance between the United States and fighters attached to the Democratic Union Party (PYD), the main Kurdish group in Syria, has deepened Ankara’s quandary with regard to its overall Syrian policy.

Turkey’s continued beefing-up of its military presence along the Syrian border is seen by Western diplomats — who say they have been assured that unilateral action by Turkey is not on the cards — as “posturing” rather than as preparations to invade Syria.

Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu’s government — which lost its parliamentary majority after the June 7 elections, and is acting as caretaker until a coalition government can be formed — is reportedly considering new options that include talking to the PYD and cooperating more closely than has been the case with the US-led coalition against the Islamic State (IS).

All of this flies in the face of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s saber rattling after Kurdish fighters from the People's Protection Unit (YPG), the armed wing of the PYD, expelled IS from the northern Syrian town of Tell Abyad in June with US air support, and positioned themselves for further gains along Turkey’s border with Syria.

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