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Analysis

Who will blink first in latest US-Iran diplomacy efforts?

The prospects for a US-Iran deal may depend less on the scope for compromise than on whether either side can afford to make the first concession.

Tehran
A police officer monitors traffic as he stands under portraits of Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, in Tehran on Oct. 21, 2026. — ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Images

TEHRAN — Qatari mediators returned to Tehran on Friday, Iran's official IRNA news agency confirmed, in the latest effort to secure an agreement between Washington and Tehran. 

US Vice President JD Vance reportedly sent a letter to Iran's national security chief, Mohsen Rezaei, proposing renewed engagement as President Donald Trump weighs further military action.

The competing accounts of the diplomatic initiative illustrate the uncertainty surrounding it. Citing an official briefed on the negotiations, Reuters reported that the Qatari delegation was coordinating its efforts with Washington and had presented Iran with a draft peace proposal during an earlier visit. Iran's IRNA, however, described the agenda as bilateral relations and regional developments.

A senior Iranian official dismissed the earlier Qatari proposal as "unacceptable ideas and not an offer," according to Reuters. Tehran has also signaled that it will not change its position on the nuclear issue.

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