Skip to main content

Why Turkey’s reliance on Trump for S-400 sanctions waiver appears misguided

Turkey is counting on President Donald Trump to waive US sanctions if Turkey takes delivery of the Russian air defense system. But any possible leniency would face significant obstacles in Congress.

Russian S-400 air defence mobile missile launching system drive down Tverskaya Street during rehearsals for the Victory Day military parade in central Moscow, May 5, 2014. Russia celebrates victory over Nazi Germany on May 9.  REUTERS/Grigory Dukor (RUSSIA - Tags: MILITARY ANNIVERSARY) - GM1EA560B2U01
A Russian S-400 air defense mobile missile launching system heads down Tverskaya Street during rehearsals for the Victory Day military parade in central Moscow, May 5, 2014. — REUTERS/Grigory Dukor

Turkish officials appealed directly to President Donald Trump this week to waive potential US sanctions if Turkey takes delivery of the Russian S-400 air defense system.

But any possible exemption would face significant obstacles in Congress even if Trump got on board.

The sanctions risk comes from a 2017 law, the Countering America’s Adversaries through Sanctions Act (CAATSA), targeting the Russian military and defense industry and its customers. Turkish presidential spokesman Ibrahim Kalin told reporters in Washington on Tuesday that Ankara “will expect President Trump to use his power for a waiver on that issue.”

Yet the law offers relatively little flexibility to the president; CAATSA drew a sharp rebuke from Trump even as he signed it into law in 2017. Congress expanded the waiver authority in last year’s defense authorization bill at the request of former Defense Secretary Jim Mattis, who called for leniency “to ensure we have the footing to support these nations whose goal is to end reliance on Russian weapons sales.”

SUBSCRIBER EXCLUSIVE

Continue reading this exclusive analysis

Original reporting and analysis unavailable elsewhere. Subscribe to AL-MONITOR to read this story and access everything we publish