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Kuwait benefits from oil price boom but long-term economic challenges loom

Key reforms and a lack of a diversified economy remain only two of Kuwait's major challenges.

Traders follow the movement of stock prices at the Boursa Kuwait (Kuwait Stock Exchange) in Kuwait City on March 2, 2022.
Traders follow the movement of stock prices at the Boursa Kuwait (Kuwait Stock Exchange) in Kuwait City on March 2, 2022. Boursa Kuwait Premier Market index broke the 8500 point mark for the first time in its history, supported by the increase in oil prices, as Kuwait's oil price reached $102.31 per barrel. — YASSER AL-ZAYYAT/AFP via Getty Images

Kuwait's Ministry of finance announced on Nov. 20 that it had narrowed its budget deficit for the 2021-2022 financial year more than it had initially forecasted, dropping 72.2% year-on-year to 2.99 billion dinars ($9.71 billion). The improvement comes on the back of elevated oil revenues. 

Meanwhile, the newly elected parliament approved on Nov. 1 the country’s delayed budget for the fiscal year 2022-2023. The budget assumes an oil price of $80 per barrel and a break-even point of $80.4. It forecasts that revenues will be 23.4 billion dinars ($76 billion) with 91% deriving from oil. Expenditure is expected to be at 23.5 billion dinars ($76.3 billion), with around 75% of expenditure being directed toward public sector salaries and subsidies.

After a lackluster performance over the past few years due to the pandemic and depressed global oil prices, Kuwait’s economy is set to have a strong 2022 and 2023. Real GDP is expected to be 8.5% this year, the highest among all GCC countries, according to a recent World Bank forecast.

Kuwait is a major oil producer, holding around 7% of the world’s oil reserves. Oil accounts for around half of Kuwait’s GDP, as well as 95% of exports and approximately 90% of government export revenue.

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