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Saudi plans oil output hike amid fears of Iran-US war supply shock: Report

Ahead of the conflict between Israel and Iran in June 2025, Saudi Arabia adopted a similar strategy, producing roughly 9.7 million barrels of oil a day.

A general view of Saudi Aramco's Abqaiq oil processing plant on Sept. 20, 2019.
A general view of Saudi Aramco's Abqaiq oil processing plant on Sept. 20, 2019. — FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images

Saudi Arabia is reportedly raising crude production and exports as a precautionary measure in response to heightened risk of a US strike on Iran, which could threaten regional oil supplies. 

According to a Reuters report published Wednesday, the plan will see the kingdom temporarily boosting its output and export of oil. Reuters, citing sources familiar with the plan, reported that Saudi Arabia will later decrease production, barring major disruptions, to remain in line with its OPEC+ production ceiling of 10.103 million barrels per day (bpd).

OPEC+, the coalition of major oil producers, decided in November 2025 to keep output rates unchanged in the first quarter of 2026 after successive output highs from April that year. 

Al‑Monitor has reached out to Saudi Arabia’s Energy Ministry for confirmation.

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