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Analysis

Azerbaijan envoy hits raw nerve with reminder of Baku’s sway on Turkey-Armenia ties

Baku’s ambassador says borders with Armenia will remain closed until Yerevan changes its constitution, hardening positions just weeks before a pivotal Armenian election seen as a referendum on Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s peace agenda with Turkey and Azerbaijan.

A roadside sign marks the entrance to Khnatsakh on May 16, 2025, a border village in Armenia's Syunik Province that has become a frontline community amid rising tensions with Azerbaijan.
A roadside sign marks the entrance to Khnatsakh on May 16, 2025, a border village in Armenia's Syunik Province that has become a frontline community amid rising tensions with Azerbaijan. — ANTHONY PIZZOFERRATO/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images

It’s an open secret that Azerbaijan wields quasi veto power over Turkey’s ongoing efforts to normalize relations with their common neighbor Armenia. However, Baku’s ambassador to Ankara, Rashad Mammadov, laid out the situation in the bluntest terms in an interview with the pro-opposition Turkish daily Cumhuriyet this week.

Mammadov asserted that Turkey and Azerbaijan would reopen their land borders with Armenia only after Armenia holds a constitutional referendum to remove references in the Armenian Constitution's preamble, which Baku says contain territorial claims to Nagorno-Karabakh. Ankara supports this demand.

The mountainous enclave was majority Armenian until 2023, when Azerbaijan wrested it from Armenia in a lightning offensive that rights groups say amounted to ethnic cleansing.

Coming only weeks before Armenia’s June 7 parliamentary elections, which are being touted as a referendum on Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s pivot toward Ankara and Baku, Mammadov’s comments went down like a lead balloon. The Turkish government refrained from commenting, but the consensus within diplomatic circles is that the envoy overstepped boundaries by suggesting that his country got to dictate when and how Turkish Armenian relations would proceed.

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